Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.019832 0.021437 0.023110 0.024986 0.027031 0.029196 0.031661
2025-09-28 0.017176 0.019477 0.022004 0.024991 0.028433 0.032281 0.036922
2025-10-05 0.015359 0.018044 0.021109 0.024881 0.029410 0.034693 0.041351
2025-10-12 0.014145 0.017101 0.020586 0.025014 0.030519 0.037170 0.045865
2025-10-19 0.013148 0.016289 0.020093 0.025064 0.031429 0.039358 0.050065
2025-10-26 0.012286 0.015551 0.019601 0.025027 0.032160 0.041291 0.053984
2025-11-02 0.011554 0.014911 0.019164 0.024993 0.032842 0.043145 0.057855
2025-11-09 0.010756 0.014124 0.018473 0.024555 0.032926 0.044165 0.060606
2025-11-16 0.010050 0.013408 0.017823 0.024113 0.032946 0.045060 0.063190
2025-11-23 0.009547 0.012933 0.017459 0.024025 0.033428 0.046589 0.066728
2025-11-30 0.009057 0.012443 0.017042 0.023828 0.033725 0.047846 0.069912
2025-12-07 0.008629 0.012015 0.016685 0.023685 0.034074 0.049175 0.073253
2025-12-14 0.008173 0.011540 0.016255 0.023444 0.034310 0.050412 0.076640
2025-12-21 0.007825 0.011204 0.016011 0.023464 0.034937 0.052278 0.081142
2025-12-28 0.007472 0.010840 0.015703 0.023363 0.035365 0.053849 0.085260
2026-01-04 0.007208 0.010594 0.015552 0.023489 0.036140 0.055990 0.090426
2026-01-11 0.006944 0.010331 0.015362 0.023535 0.036782 0.057940 0.095387
2026-01-18 0.006679 0.010053 0.015131 0.023500 0.037282 0.059676 0.100077
2026-01-25 0.006433 0.009793 0.014913 0.023469 0.037777 0.061418 0.104878
2026-02-01 0.006117 0.009406 0.014478 0.023061 0.037616 0.062036 0.107707
2026-02-08 0.005821 0.009039 0.014055 0.022648 0.037420 0.062572 0.110407
2026-02-15 0.005615 0.008806 0.013838 0.022566 0.037781 0.064088 0.114991
2026-02-22 0.005400 0.008549 0.013570 0.022382 0.037951 0.065265 0.119006